![]() Nunes and McCarthy would likely maintain their strong positions as their areas would remain majority Republican. In this case, the Central Valley districts would look quite different than they presently do.ĭistrict 22, currently held by Devin Nunes (R–Tulare) would maintain its population base in Visalia, north Fresno and Clovis while expanding to cut into Tom McClintock’s (R–Elk Grove) District 4 in the north and Kevin McCarthy (R–Bakersfield) in the south. The team with Cook Political drew a potential map that the Commission could produce: Map Credit: Cook Political/Dave Wasserman Recent population estimates suggest that Los Angeles County has enough people for 13.2 of 52 districts, while in 2010 it had a population to carry 14 of 53 districts.Ī potential seat loss in Southern California would likely have a domino effect on the rest of the state as the lines would have to shift to compensate. However the commission decides to draw the new lines, Cook targeted Los Angeles County as the most likely region to lose a seat – assuming California’s apportionment drops to 52. Map Credit: Cook Political/Dave Wasserman Here’s a look at the current district lines, which the Commission drew a decade ago: The commission is comprised of five Democrats, five Republicans and four individuals who do not belong to either party. Proposition 20 added Congressional district boundaries to the commission’s plate in 2010. The 14-member commission was formed by Proposition 11 (the Voters FIRST Act) in 2008 to draw the district lines for the State Senate and Assembly. Whatever the total ends up being, the 2020 Citizens Redistricting Commission will draw the new district lines. Depending on the census results, California could even drop two seats to 51 or remain at 53. The Cook Political Report – an independent, non-partisan political handicapper – previewed the outlook for redistricting in California.Ĭurrently, California has 42 Democrats and 11 Republicans, and the Report estimates that California will lose one seat in Congressional Apportionment to total 52 representatives. ![]() ![]() Notably, California may be forced to lose a representative in Congress for the first time since it was admitted into the union.Ĭalifornia’s population growth has stagnated – even shrunk – in recent years, meaning the nation’s most populous state might not have 53 members in the House of Representatives moving forward. Census was delayed due to the coronavirus pandemic, reapportionment, or a redrawing of political boundaries, waits for no one.
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